Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.231164 0.262082 0.295082 0.332867 0.374876 0.420085 0.472360
2025-09-21 0.187801 0.228942 0.275648 0.332389 0.399238 0.475264 0.568030
2025-09-28 0.157497 0.204463 0.260685 0.332503 0.421317 0.527024 0.661786
2025-10-05 0.136976 0.188034 0.252078 0.337543 0.447734 0.584059 0.764385
2025-10-12 0.122573 0.176924 0.248002 0.346590 0.478418 0.647069 0.877329
2025-10-19 0.108914 0.164763 0.240687 0.349805 0.500645 0.699550 0.978937
2025-10-26 0.098968 0.156315 0.237086 0.356968 0.527706 0.759007 1.092161
2025-11-02 0.091566 0.150512 0.236283 0.367380 0.559206 0.825453 1.217651
2025-11-09 0.082003 0.140283 0.227880 0.365711 0.572807 0.867121 1.310196
2025-11-16 0.073929 0.131399 0.220487 0.364562 0.586494 0.908923 1.404217
2025-11-23 0.066813 0.123227 0.213319 0.362889 0.598795 0.948735 1.496578
2025-11-30 0.062414 0.119066 0.212013 0.370020 0.624569 1.009239 1.621671
2025-12-07 0.056779 0.112373 0.206294 0.370079 0.639987 1.056009 1.730279
2025-12-14 0.051817 0.106325 0.201083 0.370469 0.655786 1.103981 1.842883
2025-12-21 0.047431 0.100832 0.196292 0.371074 0.671752 1.152740 1.958705
2025-12-28 0.044295 0.097344 0.194672 0.376883 0.696493 1.216366 2.100531
2026-01-04 0.042059 0.095351 0.195531 0.386992 0.728911 1.293666 2.267326
2026-01-11 0.039154 0.091682 0.192939 0.390609 0.750162 1.353394 2.407866
2026-01-18 0.037045 0.089415 0.192766 0.398544 0.779257 1.427245 2.574406
2026-01-25 0.035512 0.088198 0.194486 0.410041 0.815181 1.513980 2.765639
2026-02-01 0.032648 0.083750 0.189429 0.408213 0.826719 1.559322 2.888629
2026-02-08 0.030109 0.079732 0.184871 0.406952 0.839068 1.606362 3.016061
2026-02-15 0.027746 0.075839 0.180220 0.405111 0.850080 1.651302 3.141316